The Bill Chuck Files - The Tuesday Two-fer

Over the last four seasons, the Yankees have averaged 228 homers a season, which is exactly the number the Yankees need to become baseball’s first team with 15,000 homers. They enter 2013 with 14,772.

Yankees Homers Since 1988 | Infographics

In 2008, Tim Lincecum’s average velocity on his fastball was 94.1, last season it 90.3.

Tim Lincecum's Slowing Fastball | Infographics

Nine to Know: World Series Game 1, 8-3 Giants

1. Justin Verlander is human - Verlander went just four innings and allowed five runs on six hits , walking one and whiffing four. He hadn't left a game before his 5th inning since June 22, 2010 against the Mets, when he lasted two innings and allowed five runs. It should also be noted that in last season's ALCS, Verlander lasted just four innings against Texas and allowing three runs.

The Tigers showed great discipline at the plate, not chasing pitches out of the zone. Angel Pagan saw 22 pitches and Marco Scutaro had an eight-pitch at bat before ripping a single.

2. Pablo Sandoval is a Giant panda - Sandoval's three-homer game was only the fifth in World Series history. Albert Pujols hit three home runs in Game 5 last year for the St. Louis Cardinals, Reggie Jackson did it for the Yankees in 1977 and Babe Ruth did it in both 1926 and 1928.

3. 0-2? Oh no! - During the regular season, Verlander went 0-2 on 96 batters. He allowed 18 hits (.188) including three doubles, while striking out 40. In the ALDS, Oakland batters went 1-8 on 0-2 pitches with five strikeouts. The Yankees were 0-1 against Verlander on 0-2 counts in the ALCS. Last night, Verlander went 0-2 on Sandoval who took him deep on a 95 MPH fastball that was up in the zone.

4. What's the deal with Barry Zito? Zito threw 81 pitches and yet his average speed of his pitches didn't even reach that number. Zito's average velocity was 79.8 mph and his peak speed was 86.1. It's not that the Tigers could have been surprised, Zito's avg. speed during the regular season was 78.8 hitting a top speed of 87.3. But what was the deal with Zito who seemed to be having a full-fledged conversation with himself following his strikeout against Verlander? Whatever he said must have worked because he had an RBI single his next time up.

Zito worked the diagonal, pitching from corner-to-corner

5. What's the deal with Tim Lincecum? The Freak faced seven Tigers batters and whiffed five of them. Lincecum quickly got ready last night as Zito started to struggle and proved to be a great contrast to his felow Cy Young Award winning alum. Lincecum's average velocity was 88.5 mph and his peak speed was 92.2. The abrupt change of speeds was brutal for the rusty Tigers batters.

Five strikeouts: 2 on sliders, 2 on change-ups, one on a fastball

6. Cy Young Awards aplenty - I bet this was a World Series record for the most Cy Young Awards in one game: Verlander (2011),  Zito (2002) and Lincecum (2008, 2009). This was the  first time one Cy Young Award winner relieved another in the World Series since 1983 when Jim Palmer came in for Baltimore’s Mike Flanagan against the Phillies.

7. No way Jose - Jose Valverde did nothing to help his cause to regain his closer's role in the Detroit bullpen. After a 10-day layoff Valverde came on in relief for the Tigers, and in the words of Detroit manager Jim Leyland, "He wasn't terrible. He just wasn't good."  Valverde entered in the 8th with his team trailing, 6-1, 18 pitches later Valverde was done and the Tigers were down 8-1. In four postseason appearances this year, Valverde has thrown 2.2 innings allowing nine runs on 11 hits for a 30.38 ERA.

Valverde is getting no one out with 18 pitches, high in the zone, averaging 90.8 mph

8. Pablo goes all Elster on the Tigers - The only other player to hit three homers in a game at AT&T Park was the Dodgers shortstop Kevin Elster who did it on April 11, 2000 in the first game ever at Pac Bell, as it was called back then. Elster only hit 88-homers in his career (including 24 in 1996, hmm the same season Brady Anderson hit 50 homers).

9. I left my heart on the warning track in San Francisco - Only 84 homers were hit this regular season in San Francisco, the fewest of any ballpark in the majors. There have now been 28 games in which four or more homers have been hit at AT&T Park since Jhonny Peralta joined the Sandovalian procedings by hitting a two-run homer for the Tigers in the 9th. Of the 28 games, there have bee two five-homer games and one six-homer game (9/5/2000 against the Phillies, with the Giants going deep five times)

Here are the 84 AT&T Park homers by team:

Rk		HR ▾
1	SFG	31
2	ATL	7
3	SDP	6
4	ARI	5
5	TEX	4
6	LAD	4
7	COL	4
8	NYM	3
9	STL	3
10	CIN	3
11	HOU	3
12	WSN	2
13	MIA	2
14	OAK	2
15	CHC	2
16	MIL	1
17	PHI	1
18	PIT	1
	TOT	84

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/25/2012.

Verlander's Postseason record (note the 0-3 in the World Series):

Year	W	L	W-L%	ERA	GS	CG	SHO	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Yrs (8 Series)	6	4	.600	4.22	12	1	1	70.1	61	36	33	11	26	77	1.237
3 ALDS	3	0	1.000	2.67	5	1	1	30.1	20	9	9	2	14	39	1.121
3 ALCS	3	1	.750	4.32	4	0	0	25.0	23	12	12	5	6	22	1.160
2 WS	0	3	.000	7.20	3	0	0	15.0	18	15	12	4	6	16	1.600

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/25/2012.

Tim Lincecum, simply out of control

It was another big win for the Giants last night as they topped the Dodgers, 5-2, to increase their NL West lead to 5.5 games, their largest margin since ending the 2003 season with a 15.5 lead. The batting hero was former Red Sox Marco Scutaro who blooped a 7th inning tie-breaking bases-loaded single off former Red Sox Josh Beckett to drive home two runs to the delight of the sold-out AT&T Park in San Francisco.

Beckett took the loss and Santiago Casilla (7-5) earned the win. Casilla had entered the game in relief of Giants starter Tim Lincecum who went 6.1 for the Giants and surrendered a career-high seven walks.

Lincecum again failed to win back-to-back starts for only the third time this season, but at least he didn't increase his league-leading loss total to 15. It is hard to believe that this two-time Cy Young Award winner has fallen so far, so fast but his control has been an issue all season long for Lincecum.

Take a look at his career vs. 2012 numbers, then take a look graphically at the difference between Lincecum under control and out of control against the Dodgers this season.

Year	W	L	W-L%	ERA	IP	H	ER	HR	BB	SO	WP	WHIP	BB/9
2007	7	5	.583	4.00	146.1	122	65	12	65	150	10	1.278	4.0
2008	18	5	.783	2.62	227.0	182	66	11	84	265	17	1.172	3.3
2009	15	7	.682	2.48	225.1	168	62	10	68	261	11	1.047	2.7
2010	16	10	.615	3.43	212.1	194	81	18	76	231	9	1.272	3.2
2011	13	14	.481	2.74	217.0	176	66	15	86	220	9	1.207	3.6
2012	8	14	.364	5.11	163.2	163	93	18	78	169	15	1.473	4.3
6 Yrs	77	55	.583	3.27	1191.2	1005	433	84	457	1296	71	1.227	3.5

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table Generated 9/8/2012.

In four starts, this season against the Dodgers, Lincecum has been effective going 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA, but an unimpressive 1.375 WHIP because of 24 hits and 12 walks in only 24 innings. You can see by his Game Scores that despite his low ERA, he was frequently in trouble.

Rk	Date	Rslt	App,Dec	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	Pit	Str	GSc
1	2012-09-07	W 5-2	GS-7	6.1	4	2	2	7	7	1	119	71	57
2	2012-08-21	W 4-1	GS-6 ,W	5.2	5	1	1	1	4	0	87	52	58
3	2012-06-27	W 3-0	GS-7 ,W	7.0	4	0	0	2	8	0	115	70	75
4	2012-05-09	L 2-6	GS-5 ,L	5.0	8	4	4	2	8	0	101	74	41

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used Generated 9/8/2012.

Let's look graphically at the difference between last night's game and Tim's best pitched game against LA in June. At the All-Star break, Lincecum was 3-10 with a 6.42 ERA, but on June 27 Lincecum reminded us what kind of pitcher he is.

6/27 vs. LA - 7 IP, 4H, 0 R, 2 BB, 8 K = SF wins, 3-0, Lincecum gets the win 

Look at his location

9/7 vs. LA - 6.1 IP, 4H, 2 R, 7 BB, 7 K = SF wins, 5-2, Lincecum no decision

You can see Lincecum's lack of control in and out of the strike zone

When the Dodgers look back at this game, after the 2-5 score, there is one stat that will haunt them: Dodgers w/RISP: 0-10 (Josh Beckett 0-1, Mark Ellis 0-1, Adrian Gonzalez 0-2, Hanley Ramirez 0-2, and Matt Kemp 0-4).

It looks right now that the Giants are postseason bound in spite of Lincecum's troubles. On the other hand, in Lincecum's last four starts the team is 3-1, and he is 2-1 with a 3.09.

Which means that on a team that has Matt Cain, Madison Bumgarner and Ryan Vogelsong at the top of their rotations, having a Tim Lincecum at #4 makes the Giants a team to be recokoned with in October...as long as he is under control.