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Entries in Jake Peavy (2)

Wednesday
Jul312013

Peavy changes his Sox

There was a time when Jake Peavy was one of baseball's premier pitchers.

With the Padres from 2003-08 

  • Peavy was 80-55 (.593) for mediocre Padres teams that 473-500 (.486).
  • He had a 3.14 ERA and a 1.166 WHIP.
  • He allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings.
  • He allowed 0.9 homers per nine innings.
  • He walked 2.9 per nine innings while averaging 9.0 whiffs per nine innings. He had a 3.12 walk to whiff ratio.
  • He was a Cy Young Award winner once and an All-Star twice. 

The White Sox were hoping to capture his Padres success

That why on:

Now, the Red Sox are hoping to recapture his Padres success

But 2013 is not 2008

  • Batters hit .229 against Peavy in 2008. They had a .299 OBP and they slugged .345
  • Righties hit .194 against the righty, lefties .263.
  • His fastball averaged 92.6, peaking at 96.4.
  • Batter hit .239 against his slider.
  • He threw 35 cutters and batters hit .200 against them.

  • Batters have hit .244 against Peavy in 2013. They have a .285 OBP and they slugged .439.
  • Righties hit .218 against the righty, lefties .265.
  • His fastball averages 90.5, peaking at 94.2.
  • Batters hit .357 against his slider.
  • He's thrown 265 cutters and batters hit .286 against them.

With the White Sox from 2009-13 

  • Peavy was 36-29 (.554) 
  • He had a 4.00 ERA and a 1.155 WHIP.
  • He allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings.
  • He allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings.
  • He walked 2.2 per nine innings while averaging 8.0 whiffs per nine innings. He had a 3.66 walk to whiff ratio.
  • Last season, he was an All-Star. It was the only season in which he reached 20 starts in a season.

This season Peavy has allowed 14 homers

While he's not the only pitcher who has allowed 14 dingers, take a look at some of the other pitchers who have done it as well.

14 Gophers
 SLUGHRIPGSERA
Jake Peavy .439 14 80.0 13 4.27
James Shields .369 14 148.1 22 3.09
Max Scherzer .336 14 143.1 21 3.01
Jordan Zimmermann .373 14 141.0 21 3.19
Scott Kazmir .419 14 105.0 19 4.11
David Price .404 14 103.0 15 3.57
Erik Bedard .435 14 103.0 19 4.28
Created by BaseballAnalytics.org on 7/31/2013

 

Peavy was not a cheap acquisition for Boston

Not only does Boston assume the rest of Peavey's salary (he's signed through 2014 at $14.5 million), but they gave up three low-level prospects and an important trade chip in Jose Iglesias.

Forget the inflated Iglesias batting average, the Tigers don't need bats. He is a spectacular fielder who may do for Detroit what Orlando Cabrera did for the 2004 Red Sox when he was picked up on July 31, 2004 and has the ring to prove it.

The White Sox needed Peavy to pitch like an ace.

The Red Sox don't need that.

They just need Peavy to stay healthy and keep the ball in the park, pitch like a number three, and then his new Sox will do the rest.

Friday
May102013

Which Pitchers are Getting Calls, Getting Squeezed?

Which starting pitchers are benefiting from a generous strike zone this season? Which starters are grumbling as yet another borderline call goes the batter's way? Here's a quick rundown of pitchers with the highest and lowest called strike rates in 2013.

Highest called strike rates on in-zone pitches

 

Overall, umps call about four out of every five pitches taken in the zone a strike. But Jake Peavy is getting more credit for those over-the-plate-pitches than most. So are crafty lefties Mike Minor and Andy Pettitte. None of the guys in the top ten exactly lights up the radar gun. That makes sense, considering lower-velocity fastballs tend to get more called strikes than mid-90s heat.

 

Lowest called strike rate on in-zone pitches

 

On the flip side, Jon Niese has a reason to hold a grudge against Big Blue. The rest of the top ten is a mixed bag of power pitchers, breaking ball and off-speed reliant junk ballers and a knuckleballer. All of them are at a disadvantage in getting called strikes. High-velocity fastballs have lower called strike rates than slower ones, as mentioned above. Curveballs (81% called strike rate on in-zone pitches), sliders (79%) and changeups (78%) have lower called strike rates than fastballs (82%). And umps, like all other human beings on Earth, have a hard time figuring out what the heck a knuckleball is doing. Dating back to 2008, in-zone knucklers (a sample that basically amounts to pitches thrown by R.A. Dickey, Tim Wakefield and a few spot-starter aspirants) have a called strike rate of 73%.

 

Highest called strike rate on out-of-zone pitches

Interestingly, all of the starters getting calls on out-of-zone pitches are right-handers. It looks like they're taking advantage of umpires' tendency to stretch the outside corner for left-handed batters (the called strike rate on out-of-zone pitches thrown away to lefty batters is about 16%). Jeremy Hellickson (29%), Mat Latos (26%), Alex Cobb and Justin Verlander (23%) rank at the top of the list when it comes to getting calls on that outside corner versus lefty batters.

Lowest called strike rate on out-of-zone pitches

Pfft. Like Matt Harvey needs the help. Tim Lincecum, on the other hand...