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« The Fantasy Baseball Diary: Felix Hernandez | Main | The Fantasy Baseball Diary: Oakland and Houston Trade »

The Fantasy Baseball Diary: Lance Lynn and Shelby Miller

Today the news broke that Chris Carpenter will likely miss the entire 2013 season. Any time there’s an injury it presents an opportunity for another player to contribute on an everyday basis. Before the Carpenter news there was going to be a two-player battle between Lance Lynn and Shelby Miller to be the Cardinals number five starter. Now it appears both players are front runners to make the rotation on opening day. Below are player profiles about each player respectively.


Please note the format for the “ADP” section reads as follows: ADP: positional draft position (overall draft position). For example, Lance Lynn is currently the 53rd starting pitcher being taken and is going 197th overall. All ADPs are from Mock Draft Central.


Lance Lynn

Throws: R | Age: 25 |Team: Cardinals | Position: SP | ADP: 53 (197)

Lynn’s 2012 season was tale of two halves. During the first half he won 11 games, had a 3.41 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. However, in the second half he won just 7 games with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. In order to not over work him, the Cardinals put him in the bullpen for month down the stretch. Lynn has a plus-plus fastball, which has late movement, sits between 92-94 mph and can hit as high as 97 mph. For secondary pitches he primarily relies on the sinker and curveball, but will throw a cutter and changeup sparingly. The curveball is his best secondary pitch, effective against both lefties and righties. If he can improve the command of his changeup he can be a top 20 fantasy starter. Fantasy owners should expect a 3.80+ ERA with 170+ strikeouts.

Shelby Miller

Throws: R | Age: 22 |Team: Cardinals | Position: SP | ADP: 88 (306)

In 2012 during his first 17 starts in Triple-A Miller posted a 6.17 ERA (due to a lack of command), but in his last 10 starts he dominated hitters with a 2.88 ERA with 70 strikeouts in only 59 innings. In only 13 big league innings he continued to flash his dominance striking out nearly 30% of the batters he faced. His fastball sits in the mid-90s and can touch 98 if he needs it. The fastball has good sink and boring action that jumps on hitters because of his extension. His changeup and curveball (looks like a slider), can both miss a ton of bats. As the 2012 season wore on he metamorphosed from a "grip it and rip it" thrower to pitcher who relied less on the fastball and sequenced his secondary pitches more frequently. If he begins the year in the Cardinals rotation he’s a top 30 fantasy starting pitcher.

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