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Entries in NLCS (11)

Monday
Oct182010

Roy Oswalt's Splits from Game Two

In last night's NLCS game (pitch log) between the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies, Roy Oswalt's sinker, which is really a two-seam fastball, was quite effective. He threw it 45 times in 14 different plate appearances to a Giants line of .083/.214/.083 and a .167 wOBA. Here are the numbers on each of his pitches from last night:
FastChangeCurveSliderSinker
PA744114
Pitches271991145
Avg.167.000.250.000.083
OBP.286.000.250.000.214
Slug.667.000.250.000.083
ISO.500.000.000.000.000
wOBA.381.000.225.000.167

Even more interesting was Oswalt's success against left-handed batters last night:
ActualV LeftV Right
PA301416
Pitches1115457
Avg.111.000.200
OBP.200.143.250
Slug.222.000.400
ISO.111.000.200
wOBA.197.103.279

Oswalt allowed NO hits to LHB. In fact, against his two-seamer, Giants LHB managed just one walk and struck out 5 times in 9 PA. Quite impressive given that lefty hitters managed a line of .299/.354/.483 against his two-seam fastball in 2010. Oswalt's only real mistake to a righty was the HR to Cody Ruth Babe Ross Cody Ross. But based on the way Ross has been swinging the bat in this series, it's nothing Roy should be ashamed of.

Comparing Oswalt's splits from game two to his 2010 numbers hammers home just how impressive he was against lefties last night:
ActualV LeftV Right
PA836390446
Pitches318814821706
Avg.213.232.196
OBP.264.282.249
Slug.346.367.327
ISO.133.134.131
wOBA.275.291.260

Taking a look at Oswalt's pitch frequency to LHB last night gives us some more insight as to how he was so successful, as he effectively kept the ball away:
Roy Oswalt's Pitch Frequency to LHB from Game Two (54 pitches)
Thursday
Oct142010

Tim Lincecum's Curve

San Francisco Giants NLCS Game One starter Tim Lincecum has one of the best pitching repertoires in the game. However, this season has seen a noticeable dip in the effectiveness of his curveball with batters slugging .453 against it with a .352 wOBA.

In Play SLG% Against Tim Lincecum's Curveball
Last season, Lincecum's curve was good for 5.6 runs above average. This season, it's been 7 runs below average.

On Saturday, Lincecum will face a Phillies team with 4 starters all hitting above league average against the curve from RHP.

AVGOBPSLGwOBA
Raul Ibanez.368.500.526.455
Ryan Howard.256.302.590.365
Chase Utley.267.421.267.344
Jayson Werth.289.308.474.334
League AVG.232.301.336.286

Only Chase Utley falls below league average in one category against the curve, SLG%. However, he's made up for it by apparently taking more than a few curveballs for ball four resulting in a .421 OBP.

Philadelphia Phillies In Play SLG% Against the Curve from RHP (Min. 50 PA)
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