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Entries in Jose Bautista (17)

Wednesday
Mar162011

Could Francisco Pull a Bautista?

The question was posed on our facebook page whether Philadelphia Phillies' outfielder Ben Francisco could have similar success as Jose Bautista by implementing the same hitting techniques that the Blue Jays slugger did last season.  Successful hitting takes into account a whole bunch of different things.  It's nearly impossible to predict whether one batter's style could work for another player.  Jose Bautista clearly had the ability to produce power numbers at the plate prior to his 2010 season; he just needed to tweak his approach and the rest was history.

Whether Ben Francisco can make a similar adjustment and begin to produce better power numbers is anyone's guess.  Although, it is interesting to note that Francisco and pre-2010 Bautista do have similar numbers.  In 2009, Francisco hit .257/.332/.447 in 459 PA.  Bautista: .235/.349/.408 in 404 PA.  Their 2009 heat maps are also very similar.

(click to enlarge)
Bautista's new plate approach made him a terror to right-handed pitchers, producing a 1.030 OPS.  Francisco has, for the most part, fared equally against righties and lefties over the last 3 years (.753/.789 OPS respectively). Francisco does seem to generate most of his power on pitches inside, a quality shared by Bautista.

Ben Francisco 2008-10

(click to enlarge)

Adopting the hitting changes Bautista made working with hitting coach Dwayne Murphy may help Francisco.  But again, one style of hitting does not work for every player.  Francisco is more of a free swinger than Bautista, and as a result, his walk rate is much lower.  In the last 3 years, Francisco has chased 5% more balls out of the strike zone than Jose Bautista.  As a result, he's put up a .328 OBP.  Changing his swing may help generate more power, but Francisco will need to improve his ability to identify strikes in order to raise his on base percentage.  Otherwise, pitchers will avoid throwing close to the plate knowing Francisco is more likely to chase pitches out of the zone.

Tuesday
Nov092010

Jose Bautista's 2010

Jose Bautista had a career year in 2010. His season was even more impressive when you compare his numbers from just a year ago.

Jose Bautista Overall
AVGOBPSLGwOBA
2009.229.342.395.339
2010.261.379.620.423

Jose Bautista In Play SLG%


Bautista improved significantly against RHP in 2010, and this accounted for much of the jump in his production.

Jose Bautista vs. RHP
AVGOBPSLGwOBA
2009.201.325.335.314
2010.271.390.646.437

In 2010, Bautista had a K Rate of 16.3% against righties, down from 25.1% in 2009. His line drive rate jumped from 11.7% to 14.2% against RHP. Bautista also posted the second best wOBA vs. RHP (.430) of all right handed Major League batters in 2010, behind only Miguel Cabrera (.441).

Bautista also became very efficient in hitting offspeed pitches, particularly sliders.

Jose Bautista vs. Sliders
AVGSLGwOBA
2009.127.182.190
2010.269.581.406


Jose Bautista truly took the league by surprise this year. Having never hit more than 16 HRs in any season, he led the league with 54. At age thirty, Bautista will be entering the 2011 season with increased expectations given his remarkable 2010. It wouldn’t be unrealistic to expect pitchers to make significant adjustments in how they pitch the Blue Jay slugger from here on out. As such, it will be interesting to see how Jose himself adjusts, and whether he can come close to duplicating this remarkable breakout season.
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