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« Soriano Slugging, Hacking Way to History | Main | Clayton Kershaw's Curveball is to Die For »
Monday
Jul292013

CC Sabathia - Three Starts in July 2011, 2012, and 2013

It's time to face the reality that Roy Halliday is not Roy Halliday anymore and CC Sabathia is not CC Sabathia anymore (and we have to begin to wonder if Justin Verlander is Justin Verlander anymore).

There comes a point, even in great pitcher's careers, when they are not the same pitcher they once were.

They don't have the same stuff, the same speed, the same power, the same accuracy, even the same aura they once did. It can happen gradually, or it can take some time. Sometimes the diminution of dominance is so gradual that we don't see it happening in real time, we can only see it in retrospect.

To the Way Back Machine

CC Sabathia: July 16 to July 26, 2011 - three starts

  1. Sabathia went 2-1 with a 1.57 ERA and a 0.826 WHIP
  2. In 23 IP he allowed four runs on nine hits (including one homer) and 10 walks
  3. Batters hit .120/.224/.200
  4. He struck out 30.
  5. He threw 132 fastballs averaging 94.3 mph
  6. He threw 76 pitches 95+ mph. 

CC Sabathia: July 17 to July 28, 2012 - three starts

  1. Coming off the DL, Sabathia went 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.158 WHIP
  2. In 19 IP he allowed nine runs on 18 hits (including three homers) and four walks
  3. Batters hit .240/.278/.427
  4. He struck out 18.
  5. He threw 109 fastballs averaging 92.7 mph
  6. He threw one pitch 95+ mph. He threw 131 pitches 92+ mph.

CC Today

CC Sabathia: July 14 to July 26, 2013 - three starts

  1. In his last three starts, Sabathia has gone 0-2 with a 10.93 ERA and a 2.357 WHIP
  2. In 14 IP he has allowed 22 runs (17 earned)  on 26 hits (including three homers) and seven walks
  3. Batters have hit .388/.461/.627
  4. He has struck out 16.
  5. He has thrown 91 fastballs averaging 92.2 mph
  6. He threw one pitch 94.9 mph. He has thrown 80 pitches 92+ mph. He has thrown 90 pitches 88 to 92 mph. On pitches over 88 mph, batters are hitting .552.

It's just three snapshots

Since July 14, the league has a 3.16 ERA amongst qualified starters. And, only Josh Johnson's 12.51 ERA is worse than Sabathia's and Joe Saunders' .400 BAA is the only one worse than Sabathia. 

How much or how little this tells you depends on how willing you are to accept what your eyes and mind sees and knows.

There are some fans and experts who prefer to see what their memory and their heart tells them. 

Now, this is not to say that CC will never pitch another good game. And this is not to say that CC cannot make the adjustment to being more of a finesse pitcher and less of a power pitcher.

It may be just three snapshots over three Julys, but these are three pictures of CC Sabathia and clearly none are the picture of Dorian Gray.

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