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« Interactive Charts: Swing and a Miss | Main | Why are the Royals, Twins, Red Sox, Orioles, and Rangers above .500? »
Tuesday
Apr232013

The Mike Napoli RBI Machine

Mike Napoli may have found a silver lining to the offseason hip cloud he experienced.

Think about this: Napoli had agreed to three-year $39 million contract with the Red Sox. Boston fans waited and waited for the deal to become official. Then came the news in December that catcher/first baseman Napoli was suffering from avascular necrosis, a degenerative bone disease that was doing a number on his hips. Both camps regrouped and after much negotiations, now just first baseman Napoli ended up with a one-year deal worth $5 million.

Today, 19 games into this season, Napoli's hips are behaving and he leads the majors with 25 RBI. The team record for April is 25 held by Manny Ramirez who did his damage in 23 games in 2003.

Napoli is hitting .278 and slugging .570. In 10 games at home, he's hitting .306 and slugging .611 with five doubles, two home runs, and 12 RBI. At Fenway, he's hitting .389 with runners on base and has gone 5-for-10 with runners in scoring position.

This is what .611 slugging looks like

Napoli is showing tremendous horizontal coverage of the strike zone but the pitcher who attempts to get a pitch by Napoli low in the zone is simply punished.

That red area you see on the heat map above reflects a .400 batting average and an .875 slugging percentage, all four of his homers, and 17 RBI.

Look how effective Napoli has been when he's come to the plate with runners on base

  • BR = Base runners
  • BRS - Base runners scored
  Base Runners
Year BR BRS BRS%
2010 326 42 13%
2012 283 33 12%
2011 268 48 18%
2009 283 36 13%
2007 183 24 13%
2006 200 26 13%
2008 175 31 18%
2013 78 21 27%
8 Yrs 1796 261 15%
MLB Average     15%
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 4/23/2013. 
  • As you can see, Napoli is driving in baserunners at an amazing rate with productivity approaching that of some full seasons. 

All of this with the right-hand hitting Napoli so far looking miserable against lefties.

Napoli is lifetime .271 against lefties and .255 hitter versus righties. This season, he's hitting .188 against lefties and .302 against righties.

Whiffs are still an issue

There is still some reality that could be an issue when Napoli's .367 BAbip stabilizes: Napoli has struck out 26 times good for sixth in the majors with Rickie Weeks and if you need some perspecitve, Adam Dunn, the current model of hitting inefficiency, has whiffed 27 times.

However, we wait and watch Napoli drive runners home and possibly turn a cloud's silver lining into pure gold.

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Reader Comments (2)

Napoli has been fun to watch. I sometimes wish he was a little bit better contact hitter for obvious reasons, but that srtrikeout ratio is often evidenced with big power numbers. When he makes contact he hits with such authority reminiscent of Mark McGwire on steroids..... oh wait never mind about that. I hope he keeps it up, he plays the game with tons of enthusiasm which is good for the Fenway fans.

April 25, 2013 | Unregistered CommenterHITTINGFAN

I am so proud of Mike Napoli. I have a special reason for being a fan of his. His grandmother and I went to Orange High School in NJ together and graduated in 1952. While searching classmates for our 50th reunion Joanie and I exchange several emails and the last one she sent me before her untimely death before our reunion, she told me about her grandson, who was drafted by the Angels. Being a catcher, very fast runner and he hits home runs. A few years past and going thru my addresses for our 55th reunion I came across a copy of the email Joanie sent me. T\Wonering what happened to this kid I searched mlb.com and to my amazement found him on the Angels 40 man roster and a history of his minor league achievements. I have followed him since. He looks like his grandfather Anthony.

JB

April 26, 2013 | Unregistered CommenterJohn Behre
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